The over-layering and overlapping interactions of waves of social disobedience, criminality, and patent discontent give rise to spatially amorphous uncertainties and threats that could bring humanity to a breaking point. We have tried to convey this sense of urgency in this article. If international concerted actions fail to reign in the global inflation and cost of living crisis soon, humanity will be heading to a disaster. Are you ready for a global revolution? Continue reading
President Biden remarks on the end of the War in Afghanistan already outlined what will be three of the pillars of American Defense and Foreign Policy for years to come: Contingent diplomacy, Conditional engagement, and Over-the-horizon strikes. The grand strategy is, however, to lay down the groundwork needed for a possible confrontation with China. Will these pillars withstand the stress caused by such an event? That is a question that no one can answer, not even Biden himself. Continue reading
in mid-April the withdrawal of American troops from the country by September 11th, 2021, there has been a debate about the role security contractors will play in the future of the country. But we can only venture to speculate alternative scenarios about the future of Afghanistan. Continue reading
China’s Xi Jinping is pivoting towards a messianic path. Annexing Taiwan would guarantee him a place in the autocrats’ pantheon. As worrying and cynic as it sounds, the current historical juncture offers the best opportunity for China to attempt, finally, an incursion into Taiwan. The worst case scenario is a miscalculation that results in actual fighting between China and the U.S. The least-worst case scenario is an invasion without many casualties. Continue reading
If geopolitics was a playground, the parties to this conflict behave like stubborn children who do not care to listen to what fellow pupils, teachers, or parents say. Carrots or sticks do not work either. It seems both parties only answer and react to pain and suffering. Continue reading
Along an endless stream of amateur footage showing systematic human rights violations in Syria at the hands of state forces, throughout 2011 we heard one Western leader after another saying that the Syrian President Bashar Assad should go. Yet, a plan to force him out never materialized. The exodus of Syrians into neighboring countries intensified, eventually becoming … Continue reading